National Weather Service: Special Statement

Fairfield, IL

Current Conditions

Clear

20 °F

Clear

9 mph from the West

8 °F

30.46 in

10 °F

60%

10.0 miles

Flora, IL

Updated — 3:55 AM CST on February 12, 2012

Local Radar

Local NEXRAD Radar
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Locations Nearby:

 

Forecast for Wayne (62837)

Sunday
clear
Clear
H 31° / L 20°
Monday
chancesleet
Ice Pellets
H 36° / L 29°
Tuesday
chancesnow
Chance of Snow
H 38° / L 29°
Wednesday
partlycloudy
Partly Cloudy
H 47° / L 38°
Thursday
chancerain
Chance of Rain
H 50° / L 31°
Today

Sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

Tonight

Mostly clear. Lows around 19. West winds around 5 mph in the evening shifting to the south after midnight.

Monday

Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of sprinkles...snow and sleet in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

Monday Night

Occasional snow in the evening...then snow likely...a chance of freezing rain and sleet after midnight. Lows around 30. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of light rain and light snow in the morning. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday Night

Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.

Wednesday

Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s.

Wednesday Night

Rain likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.

Thursday

Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 40s.

Thursday Night and Friday

Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s.

Statement as of 3:38 am CST on February 12, 2012

Special Statement


... Winter weather event likely Monday and Monday night...

Moisture will over spread the region Monday... ahead of an upper
level storm system... forecast to be over western Missouri by
Monday evening. The wintry precipitation may be slow to develop
initially Monday west of the Mississippi River over southeast
Missouri... as the airmass will be very dry across the region.
However by afternoon... wintry precipitation should work its way to
the surface... with the activity spreading east from southeast
Missouri Monday afternoon... to areas east of the Mississippi River
including southern Illinois... southwest Indiana and west Kentucky
late Monday afternoon into Monday evening.

Most of the wintry precipitation is expected to be in the form
of snow. However... mixed wintry precipitation is possible as well
with this event... especially south of the Ohio River... and
over southeast Missouri.

Preliminary indications suggest no less than 1 to 2 inches may
accumulate most areas. Some data suggests higher amounts will
be possible. Given the Prospect for mixed wintry precipitation
and the variance seen in the model data... it is still a bit too
soon to gauge snowfall amounts with much confidence. The latest
data suggests higher precipitation rates will occur south of a
line from Perryville Missouri to Owensboro Kentucky which is also
where the best chance of a wintry mix will occur. The best chance
of any freezing rain will be west of the Mississippi River Monday
evening.

Despite the uncertainties with respect to snow amounts... it does
appear that travel impacts will be possible Monday night. Surface
temperatures... antecedent Road conditions... and precipitation
rates will all play a role in the level of impact. Given the cold
air well established across the region ahead of the approaching
system... accumulation will begin shortly after onset.

So... stay tuned for the latest updates. It is possible either
a watch... warning or advisory may be required for the upcoming
event.


241 PM CST Sat Feb 11 2012

... Winter weather event likely by Monday afternoon on through
Monday night...

Moisture will over spread the region Monday... ahead of an upper
level storm system... forecast to be over western Missouri by
Monday evening. The wintry precipitation may be slow to develop
initially Monday west of the Mississippi River over southeast
Missouri... as the airmass will be very dry across the region.
However by afternoon... wintry precipitation should work its way to
the surface... with the activity spreading east from southeast
Missouri Monday afternoon... to areas east of the Mississippi River
including southern Illinois... southwest Indiana and west Kentucky
late Monday afternoon into Monday evening.

Most of the wintry precipitation is expected to be in the form
of snow. However... mixed wintry precipitation is possible as well
with this event... especially south of the Ohio River... and
over southeast Missouri... mainly south of Highway 60.

Preliminary indications suggest no less than 1 to 2 inches may
accumulate most areas. Some data suggests higher amounts will
be possible. Given the Prospect for mixed wintry precipitation
and the variance seen in the model data... it is still a bit too
soon to gauge snowfall amounts with much confidence. The latest
data suggests higher precipitation rates will occur south of a
line from Perryville Missouri to Owensboro Kentucky.

Despite the uncertainties with respect to snow amounts... it does
appear that travel impacts will be possible Monday night. Surface
temperatures... antecedent Road conditions... and precipitation
rates will all play a role in the level of impact. Given the cold
air well established across the region ahead of the approaching
system... accumulation will begin shortly after onset.

So... stay tuned for the latest updates. It is possible either
a watch... warning or advisory may be required for the upcoming
event.


Cn



229 PM CST Sat Feb 11 2012

... Winter weather event likely by Monday afternoon on through
Monday night...

Moisture will over spread the region Monday... ahead of an upper
level storm system... forecast to be over western Missouri by
Monday evening. The wintry precipitation may be slow to develop
initially Monday west of the Mississippi River over southeast
Missouri ... S the airmass will be very dry across the region.
However by afternoon... wintry precipitation should work its way to
the surface... with the activity spreading east from southeast
Missouri Monday afternoon... to areas east of the Mississippi
River including southern Illinois... southwest Indiana and west
Kentucky late Monday afternoon into Monday evening.

Most of the wintry precipitation is expected to be in the form
of snow. However... mixed wintry precipitation is possible as well
with this event... especially south of the Ohio River... and
over southeast Missouri... mainly south of Highway 60.

Preliminary indications suggest no less than 1 to 2 inches may
accumulate most areas. Some data suggests higher amounts will
be possible. Given the Prospect for mixed wintry precipitation
and the variance seen in the model data... it is still a bit too
soon to gauge snowfall amounts with much confidence. The latest
data suggests higher precipitation rates will occur south of a
line from Perryville Missouri to Owensboro Kentucky.

Despite the uncertainties with respect to snow amounts... it does
appear that travel impacts will be possible Monday night. Surface
temperatures... antecedent Road conditions... and precipitation
rates will all play a role in the level of impact. Given the cold
air well established across the region ahead of the approaching
system... accumulation will begin shortly after onset.

So... stay tuned for the latest updates. It is possible either
a watch... warning or advisory may be required for the upcoming
event.




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